FX Intervention Research InstituteFXIR.JP — DON'T TRUST, VERIFY.
Reference translation. The canonical text of every FXIR document is Japanese. This page is provided for readers and machines that do not read Japanese. Where this page and the Japanese canonical differ, the Japanese text governs. Canonical documents carry a version number and a SHA-256 hash; quote those, not this page. Rules of the institute (canonical): kaisoku_v1.0.md — SHA-256 a56916436249830dc5e866d656e2528a28b49d77927e54ce2c09c626e03ba597
EVIDENCE CHAT

Evidence chat

Ask about intervention by the Japanese authorities. Every answer carries an evidence state, and the basis is disclosed on the right. No trading advice is provided. When something cannot be confirmed from the public record, the answer says so.
AI-generated. Verify against primary sources and the canonical documents (Art. 14).
LAYER 1 — UNDERSTAND
If you are new to FX intervention.
LAYER 2 — OBSERVE
If you follow the market.
LAYER 3 — VERIFY
If you are sceptical. Ask about our assumptions and limits.

What this assistant will not do

  • Trading advice. It will not tell you whether to buy, sell, or where to place a stop. Research and trading are separated (Arts. 42–43). The institute is not a registered financial instruments business operator.
  • Prediction of intervention. It does not forecast the timing, direction or size of intervention. Asked "will they intervene today?", it separates what can be confirmed from what cannot.
  • Numbers not in the record. It does not fill gaps from memory. If the referenced documents do not contain a figure, it says the figure cannot be confirmed from them.

"I don't know" is a legitimate answer

There is no public method of confirming, on the day, whether the authorities have decided to intervene. To such questions the assistant answers "not verifiable" and then shows the related indicators that can be observed. Not pretending to know is the reason this institute exists (Arts. 58–59).

Reading the evidence states

FACT / CONFIRMEDVerified against a primary source or raw observation.
ESTIMATEPre-release estimate; the scheduled confirmation date is given.
HYPOTHESISCarries falsification conditions. Not a conclusion.
UNVERIFIEDThe evidence does not exist, cannot be obtained, or is unpublished.

Questions can be shared as URLs, e.g. chat.html?q=How large was the last intervention. We do not store conversations. See privacy and citation terms.